Chen, Wang, Xiao, Wang, Chen, Cai, He and Wang (2025) — ARXIV-2507.10613. Also ACL 2025 (long), pp. 23881–23899, as Revisiting Scaling Laws for Language Models: The Role of Data Quality and Training Strategies, DOI-10.18653/v1/2025.acl-long.1163. The two versions have the same text; only the title differs. Both keep a line written to a reviewer: “as you correctly pointed out”.

Key takeaways

The thesis. “Sub-scaling” means gains that decelerate faster than a power law. It has two causes: “high data density and non-optimal training resource allocations”.

Data density is a per-cluster count over the volume of an n-ball, combined into one number per corpus. The Pile scores 0.64, deduplicated Pile 0.56, and a “Density-Based Pile” 0.47. That last one was selected from the Pile by the same metric.

Training strategy uses the over-training ratio OTR = D/N. Fitting L = λ_C / C^{α_C} per OTR, “when OTR ≤ 50, … α_C decreases when increasing OTR. And when OTR > 50 and OTR ≤ 1700, α_C follows a normal distribution with Mean 0.0521”. Batch size and learning rate are ruled out because bad hyperparameters “show poor performance from the beginning … rather than causing a deceleration”.

The fitted law is L = 455.345·R_D/D^0.289 + 61.929·R_N/N^0.272 + 1.372, with R_D = 1 + 1/(1+exp(−0.00810·OTR)) and R_N = 1 + 1/(1+exp(−0.00114·OTR)). The runs use AdamW with cosine decay to 10% on the Pile, at 12 sizes from 20M to 7B.

The law is pitched against Hoffmann et al.’s Chinchilla form, LIT-068, L = E + A/N^α + B/D^β, fitted to the same runs: it is that form with R_D and R_N multiplying the two coefficients. The paper claims the better fit at every size, but its Table 4 gives the Chinchilla form the lowest prediction error at 4B.

Traps

  • The density metric cannot be reproduced. The embedding, the dimension n, the clustering algorithm and K are not stated anywhere. With a realistic n and no normalization the formula gives numbers of astronomical size, not 0.47–0.64. It is also circular: it selects the low-density set and then scores it. And it is compared on two corpora, where selection also changes domain mix, quality and size.
  • The law has no density term. R_D and R_N depend only on OTR, and for OTR ≥ 0 both lie in [1.5, 2). This is Chinchilla’s form with each coefficient allowed to grow by up to a third as OTR rises, bought with two extra constants. A better in-sample fit is expected.
  • Its own tables contradict “outperforms … across all model sizes”. In Table 4 the Kaplan form has the lowest fit error at 50M, 100M and 300M, and the Chinchilla form the lowest prediction error at 4B. In Table 1, at 5B tokens, the traditional law predicts better (0.00757 against 0.00887).
  • The threshold is quoted two ways: 50 in the main text, “around 20” in Appendix F.
  • The information-theoretic model predicts the opposite of what it is used for. With I(n) = I₀ n^{−α} inserted into P = P₀(1 − e^{−βI}), performance falls with n. A marginal gain was used where a cumulative one was needed.
  • Fits use intermediate checkpoints of cosine runs. “we use the first quarter of the training data to predict subsequent loss values”. That is the confound LIT-145 describes: under cosine, a checkpoint mid-run is not the loss of a run trained to that length. The within-run bend it calls sub-scaling is confounded with the schedule.

Standing in the anthology

Filed from the reading-time triage of 2026-09-25. That entry counted this work and its ACL version as one work, which is right, and proposed it as bearing on LIT-028 and the data-constrained note. Having been read, it sources nothing.

Where the idea is held with better evidence. LIT-166 (Muennighoff et al.) is the record’s Chinchilla-form law with decay terms, fitted over 400 controlled runs that actually repeat data. This paper names its multipliers “repetition factors” and never repeats anything. The reading that redundancy bends data scaling is SOTA-243’s, via LIT-399. SOTA-164 (deduplicate) gets nothing from Table 2, because no model is trained on the deduplicated corpus.

It is kept because the ideas it gestures at are real and the record’s neighbours hold them well, and because a reader who meets its headline should find this note first.