Chorin, A. J., Hald, O. H. & Kupferman, R. (2002). Optimal prediction with memory. Physica D 166(3–4): 239–257. doi:10.1016/S0167-2789(02)00446-3.

Read in full in NOTE-975. THEORY-752 is filed from it.

Why this is here

A5 called it “the most direct foundation for comparing reduced-model prediction, unresolved dynamics, and memory”, to be read before any reformulation of dynamical independence. Bears on QUESTION-222, THEORY-257 and CLAIM-327.