The question

QUESTION-222 asks, for a stated class, when a coarse variable whose reduced dynamics carry memory admits a finite Markovian augmentation with prediction error bounded in terms of the eliminated dynamics. The fast, contracting, deterministic class is one where the augmentation can be empty. This question asks whether the bound holds there.

The answer

THEORY-773, Active, from Del Vecchio and Slotine with their Theorem 3’s hypothesis corrected, answers yes. For ẋ = f(x, z, t), εż = g(x, z, ε), with g contracting in z at rate λ_z, the reduced system on z = γ(x) contracting at rate λ_x, f α-Lipschitz in z, |∂γ/∂x · f| ≤ d along the trajectory and g K-Lipschitz in ε:

  • the fast state is within χ_z e^{−λ_z t/ε}|z(0) − γ(x(0))| + εχ_z(d + K)/λ_z of the manifold, and
  • the slow state is within χ_x|x(0) − x_γ(0)|e^{−λ_x t} + ε[C₁(e^{−λ_x t} − e^{−λ_z t/ε}) + C₂(1 − e^{−λ_x t})] of the reduced trajectory, for all t ≥ 0.

So k = 0 memory coordinates, and the error is O(ε) with constants in λ_z, λ_x, d and K. Partial contraction of f in x alone is not enough. Slow or noisy eliminated variables remain QUESTION-222’s.