Source
Comolatti and Hoel (arXiv 2022), LIT-1843, read in NOTE-1416: “the only condition to not show causal emergence was the overall effective information when using the observational distribution. This was known [Hoel 2017]”. Eberhardt and Lee (2022), LIT-1839, read in NOTE-1413, trace EI’s ambiguity and non-commutativity to the maximum-entropy distribution “extraneous to the system”. EI and its macro interventions are Hoel, Albantakis and Tononi’s (2013), LIT-1038, THEORY-222. The general bound and the decomposition below are the record’s.
What was actually shown
Set-up. A mechanism on a finite state set with transition matrix T(y | x), read as P(Y = y | do(X = x)). A partition f of the states, applied to cause and effect. An intervention distribution w over micro states, fixed in advance. EI under w is I(X; Y) with X ~ w and Y ~ T(· | X).
Common distribution. “The same distribution at both levels” means that the macro cause U = f(X) has the image law w(f⁻¹(u)), and the intervention do(U = u) is realized by drawing x from w(· | u). Then the macro transition matrix is
P(V = v | do(U = u)) = Σ_{x ∈ u} w(x | u) Σ_{y ∈ v} T(y | x),
which is P(f(Y) = v | f(X) = u) under X ~ w. So EI(macro) = I(f(X); f(Y)).
The bound. f(X) — X — Y — f(Y) is a Markov chain, so by data processing I(f(X); f(Y)) ≤ I(X; f(Y)) ≤ I(X; Y). So EI(macro) ≤ EI(micro) for every partition and every common w. Taking w to be the stationary distribution gives Comolatti and Hoel’s concession. Taking w uniform with blocks of equal size gives their symmetric bipartite model, where the macro’s 1 bit is below the micro’s at every setting computed (1.043 to 3.326 bits; exactly 1 at full degeneracy). A macro can at most tie.
Where Hoel’s gain comes from. Hoel’s macro EI uses the uniform distribution over macro states, each realized uniformly within its block. That is the common distribution w_H(x) = 1/(|U| · |block of x|), which is the micro uniform u only when all blocks have one size. So
CE = EI_macro(w_H) − EI_micro(u) = [EI_macro(w_H) − EI_micro(w_H)] + [EI_micro(w_H) − EI_micro(u)].
The first bracket is ≤ 0 by the bound. So CE > 0 requires the micro mechanism to carry more EI under w_H than under the uniform, and CE is at most that gain. On Eberhardt and Lee’s matrices: (11), CE 0.456 = 0 + 0.456; (13), CE 0.194 = −0.150 + 0.344; (14), CE 0.0001 = −0.074 + 0.074 (bits, computed).
What could have come out the other way: a single partition and distribution with macro EI above micro EI would refute it, and the random search found none.
What this does not say
- Not that macro descriptions are useless or that coarse-graining never helps. Measures not bounded by data processing, such as per-transition effect information and quantities normalized by log₂ n, can rise at a macro under a common distribution (NOTE-1416). The bound is about EI, which is the measure THEORY-787 rests on.
- Not the second half of QUESTION-204, whether the level EI picks agrees with an independent interventionist test. Eberhardt and Lee’s (14) is one hand-built case where it does not (NOTE-1413).
- Not Hoel 2013’s temporal or spatio-temporal macros, where the macro effect is several micro steps ahead and the micro comparison is with one step. The bound covers a coarse-graining of one transition, with any partitions of cause and effect. The four examples behind THEORY-222’s 0.40 to 2.92 bits were not recomputed.
- Not that the uniform distribution is wrong. It says what the gain is a gain of. Whether an analyst’s distribution should differ between levels is the interpretive question THEORY-787 takes a side on.