The claim
This is CLAIM-264’s evidential half, stated on its own. CLAIM-264: “Agreement under a probe family is evidence of shared structure only to the degree that the family was chosen independently of the comparison and is evaluated on cases it was not chosen on. A family selected to make two objects look alike shows that it can be selected.”
It rests on CLAIM-264’s exact half. Two objects can agree on every probe in a restricted family without being isomorphic, and matching each probe’s marginal leaves the joint across probes unconstrained. So agreement under a family is not identity, and what it shows depends on how the family came to be. A family chosen for the comparison at hand can be chosen to agree; a family fixed independently and tested on cases it was not chosen on can fail to, and its agreement is evidence for that reason.
The rule is CLAIM-011’s remedy applied to probes, as CLAIM-142 first drew it for communicative realizations.
What it does not say
- It does not say which probes to choose, or when a family is rich enough for a task (QUESTION-031).
- It does not say agreement under a chosen family is no evidence at all, only that it is weak evidence that the objects share structure.
- It does not say that held-out probes settle identity. The exact half still holds of them: unless the family is rich enough, agreement under it is an equivalence coarser than identity.