Michael L. Kalish, Thomas L. Griffiths and Stephan Lewandowsky (2007), Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 14(2):288–294 — DOI-10.3758/BF03194066
Key takeaways
- The prediction. If learners share a prior p(h) and each samples a hypothesis from the posterior given the previous learner’s data, the chain of hypotheses is a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the prior, so “the stimuli provided for learning are completely irrelevant in the long run” (citing Griffiths and Kalish, LIT-769). A simulation with Bayesian linear regression (appendix) shows the convergence in a few generations.
- The test. 288 undergraduates in four conditions; each condition formed eight “families” of nine generations. The first learner in each family was trained on 50 points from y = x, y = 101 − x, a U-shaped sine function or a random one-to-one pairing; each later learner was trained on the previous learner’s 50 test responses (25 old and 25 new x values), without contact and without knowing their responses would be passed on.
- The result. 28 of 32 families converged within a few generations to a positive linear function. All eight negative-linear families, and three others, produced a negative linear function for at least one generation; three families ended on it and one did not converge. The median correlation with y = x rose across generations in every condition except the positive linear one, which was at ceiling from the start.
- Where the prior came from. The bias toward positive linear functions was taken from earlier function-learning studies (initial responses, ease of learning, a fitted model), not measured on these participants. The authors call the stationary distribution “apparently complex” and say significantly more data would be needed to confirm convergence and map it against prior estimates.
- The claims drawn. Iterated learning can be used as a method to reveal implicit inductive biases; and the result is said to “validate” serial-reproduction studies such as Bartlett’s (LIT-768) as revealing biases, and to suggest that “languages, legends, religious concepts, and social norms” are tailored to them. Neither extrapolation is tested.
Standing in the record
Filed on 2026-10-09 from the manuscript bibliography of 2026-10-09 (work
what-survives-translation) at the owner’s request: the manuscript
considered it and dropped it from the final reference list. It is read here
on its own merits. See the curation entry of that day.
Read on 2026-10-09 (NOTE-616). It is the empirical companion of
Griffiths and Kalish’s analysis (LIT-769) and the closest thing the record
holds to a test of THEORY-155: a human chain run against a bias stated
before the experiment. It does not meet that theory’s promote_when,
since the prior was not measured or set independently on the learners and
stationarity was not shown. It stands beside Kirby, Cornish and Smith’s
chains (LIT-771), which measured no prior at all.