Source

Mancinelli & Bach (preprint 2025; NBR 2026), LIT-1477, read in full from the PsyArXiv preprint in NOTE-1134. The three primary studies (Cameron et al. 2022; Engelhard et al. 2015; Xia et al. 2019) were not read. What the review reports of them is THEORY-920, which this entry extends.

The claim

The review states, rated B, that “signalling the availability of a costless AR for a previously and currently never punished CS (i.e., the CS-) has been observed to elicit this AR, and to increase threat expectation once this AR option is removed” (pp. 19–20): avoidance execution “can propagate to CS-”. NOTE-1134 records it as claim C4, moderate, confounded by signalling. The authors themselves raise the confound: the signal that avoidance is available “might be understood by participants as a signal for US delivery” (p. 19).

This entry states the finding of the three studies in the record’s voice rather than as the review reports it. It does not carry the authors’ explanation, that people infer danger counterfactually from having avoided.

What would settle it

The promote_when, carried from THEORY-920 unchanged: a study with a continuously available, unsignalled avoidance response, showing that performing and then losing it raises threat expectancy for a safe stimulus in proportion to how much the person avoided. QUESTION-327 asks the same. Studies that keep the signal cannot settle it.