Source

Frank and Goodman (2012, Science), LIT-821, read in NOTE-634; Goodman and Frank (2016), LIT-816, read in NOTE-606; Bergen, Goodman and Levy (2012), LIT-809, read in NOTE-613. The papers present the inversion of an informative speaker as how listeners reason, not only as a model that fits mean bets.

What is asserted

That a listener’s interpretation of an utterance is the result of inverting a model of a speaker who chooses among the available alternatives by informativeness, so that the same form conveys different things when the alternatives differ.

What the record holds toward it

THEORY-172, Active, is the measured part: in Frank and Goodman’s one-shot reference games, mean listener bets matched a parameter-free inversion of a size-principle speaker with a separately measured salience prior, and not salience alone; and in Bergen, Goodman and Levy’s signalling games with novel symbols, listeners read a signal as excluding what its available alternative would have conveyed. THEORY-472 derives the size-principle speaker from informative communication. QUESTION-209 asks for the decisive test: alternatives manipulated with the form fixed, parameters set in advance, trial-level data.

What this does not say

  • Not that comprehension in natural conversation computes the recursion; the games fix the alternatives.
  • Not that speakers are informative; the model is of the listener’s assumption about speakers.

What would confirm or reject it

Confirmed by the promote_when. Rejected if, with alternatives and costs manipulated and the form held fixed, a literal listener with the same prior, or a likelihood-only model, predicts trial-level judgements as well as the inverted speaker.