Source
Craske, Treanor, Conway, Zbozinek & Vervliet, LIT-1500, read in full in NOTE-1137 from the NIH author manuscript (PMC4114726): the sections “Inhibitory Learning vs Habituation and Behavioral Testing Approaches to Exposure” and “(1) Expectancy Violation”.
What was actually shown
The paper reports two findings from the literature. First, “the amount by which fear has reduced at completion of extinction is not predictive of the amount of fear expressed at the follow-up extinction retest in either animals or human laboratory samples”. Second, “the amount by which fear reduces by the end of an exposure trial or series of exposure trials is not predictive of the fear level expressed at follow-up assessment in fearful human samples”. It adds that sustained arousal during extinction goes with less fear at retest, and that in several of the authors’ studies “failure to habituate throughout exposure therapy was not associated with poorer outcomes”.
What could have come out otherwise: within-session habituation could have predicted outcome, as habituation models (Foa & Kozak 1986) hold it must.
What this does not say
- That fear reduction is harmful. It is said not to predict, not to hinder.
- That the finding holds in diagnosed clinical samples generally. The cited exposure studies are of fearful, mostly analog, samples (acrophobia, contamination fear, public speaking).
- What does predict outcome. The paper points to expectancy violation and to variability of fear. Both are argued and cited, not established here.